Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Princeton Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe040495d1b5813cfc0814d21436bda7cdde8c3f2cf09aba0ee032202418a15cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Princeton Tigers, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 1,829$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 1,380$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Princeton Tigers | 51c | 134.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Princeton Tigers | 51c | 100.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Princeton Tigers | 54c | 98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Princeton Tigers | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Princeton Tigers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Princeton Tigers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Princeton Tigers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Princeton Tigers | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Princeton Tigers | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Princeton Tigers | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Princeton Tigers | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Princeton Tigers | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Princeton Tigers | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Princeton Tigers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-2.5)this page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton TigersMerrimack College Warriors won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 133.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-3.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.