Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Princeton Tigers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6f7e52219f2e2974d3c60eb0ded3c9d79f1e124d4b73937207802a4e62e01e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Princeton Tigers, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 153$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Princeton Tigers | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Merrimack College Warriors | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Princeton Tigers | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Princeton Tigers | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-3.5)this page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton TigersMerrimack College Warriors won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 133.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-2.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.