Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4fcb37b38ea6d8d6c32545ed5e7ef4e9b559d732d87e701be16d60da3440074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,860$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 44c | 245$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 47c | 131$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 56c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 134.5this page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton TigersMerrimack College Warriors won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 133.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-2.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
- Spread: Princeton Tigers (-3.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.