TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3add…e482

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.1
Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.64
Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.35
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.34
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$23.1
Magic vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.64
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.46
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$12
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.44
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Knicks vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42.12
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.48
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-9.5)backed Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
LIU Sharks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)backed Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+137.2%+$28.92
New Mexico Lobos vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
James Madison Dukes vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-1.5)backed Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$14
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-18.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.74
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.52
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-4.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.69
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$14.5
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.04
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.26
Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-4.5)backed Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$40.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.12
Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.91
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$28.32
Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.1
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Oerebro HKbacked Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8.64
SHL: Timraa vs. Skellefteaabacked Timraa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.67
Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.15
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.21
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$48.16
Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.42
Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108%+$31.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.84
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$5.6
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.38
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.75
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.33
Will Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.48
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.73
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+48.5%+$18.95
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.12
Will Vejle BK vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$13.92
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.81
Will Bristol City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.74
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.92
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7.7
Swansea City AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$11.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.89
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.53
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)backed Feyenoord Rotterdam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.06
PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$17.05
FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.69
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$9.45
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Olimpia Milano vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.