NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211e591aa870aea7d9ca751b8d120e47d876474dcb360e2d48e04aacc626e2ab

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,317 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	55c	2,903$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,595.11	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	44c	2,015$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,123.57	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	1,379$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	60c	937.24$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.27	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	55c	687.76$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.42	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Over	60c	672.12$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	40c	463.92$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.35	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	53c	460$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.1	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Over	67c	449.63$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	38c	444$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.28	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	62c	444$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.03	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	53c	403.69$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.43	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	55c	403.04$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.29	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	38c	398.21$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.04	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over	52c	331.95$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.9	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	60c	303.21$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.14	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	43c	252.01$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.51	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under	39c	248$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.28	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under	43c	225.8$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.31	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	51c	197.58$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.58	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under	40c	187$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.2	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	34c	179.63$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.05	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under	55c	175$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under	39c	139$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.79	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under	45c	138.88$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.38	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under	49c	130$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.66	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under	40c	126$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under	41c	125$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.67	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcad0…d5bfbacked Under	45c	120$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under	45c	108$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under	51c	102.38$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.49	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	49c	101.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.57	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under	39c	98$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.78	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under	45c	93$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.15	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	45c	88.89$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.89	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under	39c	86$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.46	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	55c	84.15$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over	56c	75$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under	39c	65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.65	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+10.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under	39c	65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.65	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	64.87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.79	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under	51c	62.99$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.87	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under	44c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over	60c	54$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	40c	51.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.7	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	185	49.2%91 W · 94 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Over	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Over	60c	49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Over	61c	49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over	56c	47$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Over	61c	46$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.06	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over	60c	46$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Over	61c	44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.84	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Under	46c	43.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.44	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee47…a253backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under	39c	42$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	93	60.2%56 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under	39c	42$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Over	61c	42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	45c	41.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.92	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Over	60c	41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Over	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Under	44c	39.98$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.28	126	54%68 W · 58 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over	60c	38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over	56c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over	56c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over	61c	38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over	61c	37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.57	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over	61c	36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Over	61c	36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Under	45c	34.71$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f19…e03ebacked Under	45c	33.65$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over	60c	31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over	61c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Over	61c	28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Under	45c	27.36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	44c	27.23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Over	60c	27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over	61c	27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.47	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over	55c	26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Over	61c	26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked Over	61c	26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…683dbacked Under	57c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Over	61c	24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over	55c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b3…6785backed Under	77c	23.28$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.35	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Over	55c	23$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed Over	61c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	54c	21.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over	55c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.28per pick	52cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over	61c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-5.5wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over	60c	18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event