TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbe8…47f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.92
1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.77
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$17.6
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.79
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.82
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21.36
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.81
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.11
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.43
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.34
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.94
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$25.48
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44.88
1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.54
Spread: Liberty Flames (-4.5)backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.96
Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$17.16
Siena Saints vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-18.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.44
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
LSU Tigers vs. SMU Mustangsbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.56
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$3.2
Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.8
Will Dundee FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.8
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$6.16
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$11.5
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37%+$6.48
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.26
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+105.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs GenOne (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$17.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+41.4%+$16.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$55.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.