Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedbfc04e18cef491a33af74bc06fbb04ef03ebcd3ae3678963b0ad33cb424b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 1,387$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.94 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 913.57$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 765.03$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.44 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 57c | 510.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 73c | 411.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 54c | 360$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 282.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 131.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 68c | 44.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 48c | 38.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 43c | 28.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 49c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 49c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…58dbbacked Over | 78c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.