TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7500…ae85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-12.5)backed Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.65
Utah Utes vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.32
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Spread: Columbia Lions (-1.5)backed Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.23
Navy Midshipmen vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.16
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.33
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$16.5
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-11.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Rhode Island Rams vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-7.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$14.5
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.9
UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.93
Spread: BYU Cougars (-6.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.72
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.24
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$12.5
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-11.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Lamar Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.2
Spread: Furman Paladins (-4.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.66
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.12
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+233.3%+$26.6
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$5.6
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.46
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.77
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.68
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$17.05
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.32
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+150%+$23.4
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.88
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.56
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.88
Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26.59
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.46
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.64
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.7%+$25.64
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.11
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.08
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minskbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
DEL: Dresdner Eisloewen vs. Koelner Haiebacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
DEL: Bremerhaven vs. Iserlohn Roostersbacked Bremerhaven · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.44
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Calgary Wranglersbacked Colorado Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.36
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Cleveland Monstersbacked Toronto Marlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$24.44
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$6.97
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Belleville Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.76
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.08
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Oerebro HKbacked Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$13.44
Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.53
Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.12
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.16
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$45.92
Capitals vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.66
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.68
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.21
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+222.6%+$28.98
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.36
Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.58
Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.75
Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$8.91
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.45
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.4
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.8
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Watford FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.94
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.3
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.36
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.18
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.72
Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.96
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Will Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26.27
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.12
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$21.56
FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.36
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.14
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.21
Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.25
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.28
Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.78
Will Burgos CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$13.44
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.38
Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+222.6%+$24.15
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.96
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.75
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.76
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.73
Will Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$17.4
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.35
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
USC vs. TCU: 1H Moneylinebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.82
Spread: Houston (-3.5)backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.04
New Mexico vs. Minnesota: 1H Moneylinebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$14.84
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 62.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$22.32
Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.