Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd56fe24bd46f33b4dd51e2daff8f78958654be8043a259c6ca0d0c349d763b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Panthersof Clemson Tigers, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 4,584$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 1,681$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 1,681$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 1,680$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.6 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 1,609$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 739.96$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.18 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clemson Tigers | 53c | 298.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 245.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 194$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Clemson Tigers | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 38.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Clemson Tigers | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-11.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Clemson TigersClemson Tigers won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-12.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.