Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48392258c3488418f41403c38825d5e51ab41258b6f81440b6e291bdcdccb2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 49c | 78,000$38,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,349.95 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 27,500$13,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,504.42 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 15,906$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.06 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 15,010$7,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,354.85 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 14,131$6,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.11 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,251$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 9,000$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.65 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 4,259$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.91 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 49c | 3,759$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.56 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,912$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.88 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 825$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 529.65$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 51c | 519.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 411.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 52c | 359.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 343.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 227.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a3…4f47backed Over | 50c | 184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 51c | 131.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 53c | 73.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Under | 51c | 54.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 51c | 36.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 50c | 34.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 52c | 24.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 135.5this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Clemson TigersClemson Tigers won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-11.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-12.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.