Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2390c52b5181d023c7e7aeaa685a51ed933617a6f1b1d0ec453afb16bc9e7496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 31,374$15,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,687 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 20,306$10,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,152.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 8,968$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 4,016$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.2 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 2,988$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 897.82$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.96 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 651.45$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 545.67$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 358$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks | 62c | 232$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 174.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 121$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…b033backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 83.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 59.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Baylor Bears | 46c | 35.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 35.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 31.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 26.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…782bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-7.5)this page
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 154.5Under won
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-8.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.