Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a0f99a3c0257f01670458a80dbed81083363eb01c60bc6396dd5a1a94e302a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 16,230$8,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,089.97 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 52c | 10,569$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.03 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 8,411$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.96 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 3,765$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.03 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 45c | 1,918$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 859$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 61c | 807$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.32 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 612.3$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 558$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 470.37$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 468$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 45c | 322.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 299$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 63c | 129.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 54c | 107$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Over | 54c | 94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…789fbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 65.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 43.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 33.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…63a6backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 155.5this page
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-7.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-8.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.