TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas Jayhawksof Baylor Bears, Kansas Jayhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Kansas Jayhawks75c6,328$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58219950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Baylor Bears25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Kansas Jayhawks76c2,634$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.435942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Baylor Bears22c2,350$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8913842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Baylor Bears24c2,219$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears24c1,897$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Kansas Jayhawks76c1,785$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.395858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kansas Jayhawks74c1,578$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.215851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Baylor Bears26c1,307$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.431,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baylor Bears10c1,211$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.11,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Baylor Bears18c951.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.817965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears21c876.77$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.864,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Baylor Bears11c848.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Baylor Bears13c823.06$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.045910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Kansas Jayhawks75c796.84$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears15c788.53$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.515,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Baylor Bears25c778.27$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5413735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Baylor Bears12c757.09$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.122,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Kansas Jayhawks76c637.94$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.454860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Kansas Jayhawks75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baylor Bears7c557.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.155,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kansas Jayhawks76c474$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.761,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Baylor Bears13c466.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6238343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Baylor Bears24c439.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4452928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas Jayhawks78c404.74$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.112,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Baylor Bears25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Kansas Jayhawks76c390.12$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.635552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Baylor Bears26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Baylor Bears27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baylor Bears13c282$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.321,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f30…a479backed Baylor Bears24c257.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.361118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-65.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Baylor Bears13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Baylor Bears24c230.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.936524.6%16 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Baylor Bears25c219.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Baylor Bears19c201.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.533,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kansas Jayhawks79c199.29$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas Jayhawks80c187$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas Jayhawks77c181.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Kansas Jayhawks75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears8c178.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.244,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Baylor Bears21c168.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Baylor Bears16c157.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0332343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Baylor Bears26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Kansas Jayhawks76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.043164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Baylor Bears26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Kansas Jayhawks76c131.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.458362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Baylor Bears12c130.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.132763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x53c2…cdb2backed Kansas Jayhawks77c130.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Baylor Bears25c118$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Kansas Jayhawks75c114$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Baylor Bears11c110.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.232,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Baylor Bears26c104$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.041,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Baylor Bears25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Baylor Bears15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Baylor Bears24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Baylor Bears11c99.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8464322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Baylor Bears26c86.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5553646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas Jayhawks75c80.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Kansas Jayhawks75c79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.757648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Baylor Bears26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Baylor Bears23c75.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4825436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Kansas Jayhawks76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Baylor Bears20c64.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.592114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas Jayhawks79c61.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Baylor Bears26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Baylor Bears26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153969.2%27 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…57f1backed Kansas Jayhawks76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed Kansas Jayhawks76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Baylor Bears25c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Baylor Bears26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab3…1576backed Baylor Bears25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Kansas Jayhawks74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5835050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Kansas Jayhawks77c30.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.164,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…bce2backed Kansas Jayhawks76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9559…19bfbacked Kansas Jayhawks77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas Jayhawks74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.722,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Kansas Jayhawks75c21.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5320254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda67…3911backed Kansas Jayhawks75c21.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Kansas Jayhawks80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Kansas Jayhawks80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b8…0eb0backed Kansas Jayhawks76c19.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.721540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc728…42efbacked Kansas Jayhawks75c19.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.832369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Kansas Jayhawks75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.255156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fe…d2a7backed Kansas Jayhawks77c15.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kansas Jayhawks76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.