TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa3c0…e43e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
369
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT15354.2%83 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.9%+$175.03
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$188.32
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT14461.1%88 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+106.9%+$106.86
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$107.45
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.4
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.4%+$353.22
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$167.55
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+71.7%+$43.01
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.2%+$22.22
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+105.8%+$12.8
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.85
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.7%+$34.65
Chicago State Cougars vs. New Haven Chargersbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Davidson Wildcats vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
La Salle Explorers vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Navy Midshipmen vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigersbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+59.9%+$23.97
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Northern Colorado Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.5%+$32.6
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+65.6%+$26.25
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47%+$9.39
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Charleston Cougars vs. Towson Tigersbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Hofstra Pride vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Albany Great Danesbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+220.6%+$55.14
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$452.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.