TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$989,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,145,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Blue Jackets52c254,967$131,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,154.0319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues49c132,943$64,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,893.691,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blues48c93,883$45,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,06438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets50c87,509$44,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,337.811,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues50c80,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,00048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Blue Jackets51c70,805$36,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,459.6611052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Blues50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Blue Jackets50c45,202$22,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,601.023844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues48c40,666$19,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,518.892,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets50c27,789$13,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,894.548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets50c25,717$12,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,851.1641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blues49c24,121$11,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,748.321,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blues50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blue Jackets47c16,012$7,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,486.2650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blues10c14,694$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.862,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues49c14,332$6,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,958.692,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Blues50c14,016$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blues53c13,706$7,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,263.9933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Blue Jackets50c11,800$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9005552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Blues12c10,398$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Blues48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Blues48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8002540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Blues48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d5…2aabbacked Blues54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c28…fb64backed Blue Jackets46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues52c9,041$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.451,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jackets50c8,376$4,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,18828152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues50c8,000$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blue Jackets50c7,649$3,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.7361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blues50c7,645$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.021,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Blues51c7,500$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.984841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets50c7,400$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blues26c6,793$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.3733345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blues53c6,401$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.477347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Blues49c6,384$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.118450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Blues50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Blues50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets48c5,726$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.4161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blues48c5,501$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.4812047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blues48c5,335$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.852050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blue Jackets50c5,034$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.3656649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Blues50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues5c4,221$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Blue Jackets50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blues49c3,823$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.5245955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets68c3,590$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.6895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Blues49c3,504$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.98650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Blue Jackets65c3,500$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.996835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blues49c3,438$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.6947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Blue Jackets50c3,423$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.2928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Blue Jackets50c3,206$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.14045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blue Jackets50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blues49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9327548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues49c2,757$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.271,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blue Jackets50c2,480$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24062249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd030…ffd8backed Blue Jackets48c2,469$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Blue Jackets50c2,420$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.18664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues51c2,400$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Blues49c2,305$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.4413954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddf0…18d5backed Blues52c2,202$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blue Jackets51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.8685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets64c2,062$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.13,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Blue Jackets50c2,029$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Blues51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02040049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Blue Jackets47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Blue Jackets51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7814654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Blues50c1,911$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.323246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues41c1,851$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.21,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6752…bc58backed Blues52c1,830$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blues51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91843548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1131…6181backed Blue Jackets48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jackets69c1,288$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.427163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Blues50c1,286$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64348161.3%295 W · 186 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blues1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blues51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56145749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Jackets75c1,034$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.541,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Blue Jackets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Blue Jackets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Blue Jackets51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9814142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets51c916.37$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues50c850$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Blue Jackets48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.338046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Blues50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets48c793$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.651,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets48c763.65$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Blues48c744.4$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.061,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Blue Jackets50c711$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb10…324dbacked Blues50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Blue Jackets48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Blues44c693.95$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.321,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf823…2b46backed Blue Jackets51c690$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Blue Jackets47c664.81$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.351952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Blues15c646.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020448.5%99 W · 105 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.