NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x093a0198aaac0452f625f5f8bdaeb0bb2621306245df41d2bdc56ff18a61ddc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,720$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 2,470$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.15 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,029$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 55c | 1,261$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.24 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 986.91$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.91 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 55c | 723.67$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.35 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 410.91$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 223.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Under | 53c | 199.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 171.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 168.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 48c | 159.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 54c | 148.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 145$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 52c | 143.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 126.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 53c | 99.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 83.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 47.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 47.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…80efbacked Under | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 48c | 22.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…0cd1backed Under | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. BluesBlue Jackets won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.