TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf62b…844a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT14654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Devils vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$530.29
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$43.07
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$45.68
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.05
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$62.5
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$74.68
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$369.86
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,092
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$265.82
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$8,061.98
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+39.1%+$4,367.96
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$250
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+39.9%+$398.6
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+142%+$1,068.4
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.5%+$53.07
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.3%+$53.35
Will Diego Luna (Andor) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100.1%+$1,000.63
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,805Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2,606.39
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+41.7%+$834.59
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+113.2%+$2,264.32
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$369.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$182.22
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+45.4%+$226.97
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+57.2%+$686.01
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$515.15
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$370.08
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$500.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSUN Matadors vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$148.42
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$124.3
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$497.02
Albany Great Danes vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$124.3
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Acesbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$124.3
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58%+$287.64
North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25.4%+$50.86
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+30.9%+$61.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$157.89
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$149.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+390%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+390%+$58.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.7%+$158.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+30.2%+$151.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$149.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$132.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.