Movies · resolved market

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e5b36c09040e63c32c9a5126f0506989e1b3636e5a8d5892506b9bf57a0f684

Rebuilt 11 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $342,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,381 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x01a4…8924backed Yes	1c	50,205$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	4c	35,880$1,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501.58	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+208.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	18,110$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.42	98	3.1%3 W · 95 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-89%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	2c	12,944$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.53	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	12,148$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.64	145	5.5%8 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80e…9211backed Yes	3c	11,468$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-52%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	3c	10,357$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.74	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	14c	7,245$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.26	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x314c…6cbebacked Yes	2c	6,337$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc583…7a35backed Yes	2c	5,100$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x147d…fcc9backed Yes	3c	4,726$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.51	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa6…2c95backed Yes	2c	4,511$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e74…6d51backed Yes	2c	4,430$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x416b…bad6backed Yes	3c	4,215$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.13	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x779b…f390backed Yes	2c	4,020$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed Yes	8c	3,807$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	3c	3,564$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-76%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	3,337$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	16c	3,176$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.57	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Yes	10c	2,620$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	2,524$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.08	201	3.5%7 W · 194 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	2,520$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.57	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	11c	2,462$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.71	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x023e…4f21backed Yes	2c	2,424$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.33	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	8c	2,367$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.79	90	21.1%19 W · 71 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	7c	2,306$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.48	154	9.7%15 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes	1c	2,284$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e5…6444backed Yes	2c	2,256$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	2c	2,222$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	2,165$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	39	0%0 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e2…8cd6backed Yes	2c	2,090$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa172…b716backed No	78c	2,033$1,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.16	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes	4c	1,896$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.11	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes	5c	1,894$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.49	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	9c	1,864$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.9	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7177…ddefbacked Yes	5c	1,785$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	1,769$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.36	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Yes	15c	1,700$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+50%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8e…39b0backed Yes	3c	1,656$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	2c	1,572$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.75	194	40.2%78 W · 116 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bc…b0e9backed Yes	2c	1,476$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	5c	1,285$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.22	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd442…08c1backed Yes	2c	1,278$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	3c	1,244$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.66	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	2c	1,194$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	123	1.6%2 W · 121 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	6c	1,189$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.91	84	22.6%19 W · 65 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d11…855bbacked Yes	1c	1,183$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8caf…5473backed Yes	2c	1,167$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	2c	1,162$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	11c	1,117$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.23	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb87c…6a5fbacked Yes	2c	1,106$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	7cpaid	+317.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3047…4217backed Yes	2c	1,093$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a00…c3cbbacked Yes	20c	1,082$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	8c	1,071$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.58	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d94…d698backed Yes	2c	1,057$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5acd…c079backed Yes	6c	1,057$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.55	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes	2c	1,053$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b0…ed0fbacked Yes	2c	1,051$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f6…07f1backed Yes	6c	1,041$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	3c	1,036$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes	2c	1,015$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2722…03a5backed Yes	2c	1,007$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	2c	1,001$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	73	6.8%5 W · 68 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Yes	4c	1,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes	7c	995.31$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	54	14.8%8 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	14c	979$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.81	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e1…24e6backed Yes	2c	970.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes	8c	952.54$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes	10c	935.67$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.39	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes	2c	925$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f91…417ebacked Yes	2c	911.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b5…80eebacked Yes	2c	870.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27e2…2c85backed Yes	3c	848.46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeec5…f5ffbacked Yes	4c	843.83$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.66	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec0…976bbacked Yes	2c	806.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Yes	2c	800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	3c	800$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf959…c7cfbacked Yes	2c	780.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…8f56backed Yes	2c	766.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1503…d91cbacked Yes	1c	762.34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3b…3d4abacked Yes	2c	742.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4999…cc96backed Yes	7c	718.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2896…bc73backed Yes	9c	667.24$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	24c	651$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.37	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	14c	613.13$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2db…9070backed Yes	22c	612.56$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b0…d788backed Yes	2c	603.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	7c	570.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.09	116	4.3%5 W · 111 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2771…8511backed Yes	2c	565.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f0…36f9backed Yes	2c	565.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	8cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef10…1d95backed Yes	2c	559.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccb2…9f14backed Yes	10c	540$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42c5…34ecbacked Yes	4c	537.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.24per pick	10cpaid	+159.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x177a…003dbacked Yes	2c	533.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea9d…cdffbacked Yes	24c	533$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	2c	531.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffe…538ebacked Yes	2c	530.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70b…de12backed Yes	2c	529$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	2c	520$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes	8c	511.95$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.05	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	+131.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Eva Victor win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jennifer Lawrence win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will June Squibb win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Sydney Sweeney win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event