TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5cc…3f0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST5972.9%43 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$199.84
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.1%+$108.77
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.88
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.7%+$74.49
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.8%+$435.21
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+31%+$55.83
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+56.9%+$102.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37.6%+$67.74
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$189.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+70%+$161.92
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+50.2%+$12.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+48.8%+$12.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.37
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40%+$14.01
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$97.53
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+83.9%+$209.79
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$711.11
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
US Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+79.6%+$323.03
US Open: Leandro Riedi vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Comesanabacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$105.96
US Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$576.56
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$23.26
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon: Tauson vs. Rybakina (W) backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.14
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$66.38
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Fonseca backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon: Majchrzak vs. Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon: Darderi vs. Thompsonbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Wimbledon: Bellucci vs. Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Fokina backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.32
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+117.3%+$31.68
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Opelkabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Moutetbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$47.26
French Open: Boisson vs. Gauff backed Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+412.5%+$825.03
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+367.1%+$367.08
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will Benny Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+60.2%+$207.4
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.92
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Yura Borisov win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will 'September 5' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+71.4%+$21.4
Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Will 'Challengers' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Adrien Brody win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.74
Will Hugh Grant win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$635
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.58
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$71.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.2%+$8.43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+104.3%+$651.74
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.87
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.93
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.73
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+318.9%+$153.07
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.19
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.86
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Lamine Yamal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.85
UEFA Nations League: Spain vs. France (To Advance)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.87
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.19
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+36.7%+$5.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$180.77
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$38.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$330.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.