Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lamine Yamal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95b9ea3b02dd7b944d80d61a28e2ca387f288a5555b149610fbad4a37e140d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 66c | 3,664$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.63 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,928$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 63c | 1,440$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 38c | 1,438$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 64c | 1,125$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.56 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Yes | 26c | 1,013$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…debebacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…3a58backed No | 59c | 1,000$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f530backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…21bebacked Yes | 41c | 995$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 62c | 769.08$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 65c | 665.96$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 35c | 642.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…3c68backed Yes | 25c | 620$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 65c | 608.49$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.03 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…bb0abacked Yes | 38c | 594.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…3a28backed Yes | 40c | 499.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 61c | 489.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…c7ecbacked Yes | 39c | 427.47$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 15c | 403.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 40c | 402.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…87ffbacked Yes | 39c | 357.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…d3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 279.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 28c | 259.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 60c | 192.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…a5a7backed Yes | 12c | 161.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 67c | 149.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…12c7backed Yes | 36c | 130.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…5287backed Yes | 35c | 128.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes | 35c | 127.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Yes | 40c | 122.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 38c | 108.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…f3ccbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…492abacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 65c | 96.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…f6c4backed Yes | 37c | 89.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…7d54backed Yes | 35c | 83.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 59c | 79.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked No | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…a337backed Yes | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 25c | 63.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 39c | 63.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…e4ebbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…b751backed Yes | 37c | 53.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 39c | 50.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…1bd6backed Yes | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…84cbbacked No | 50c | 31.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked No | 64c | 28.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…8a5ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…494dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 60c | 21.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…ab30backed Yes | 49c | 20.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 62c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lamine Yamal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?this page
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?Yes won
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?Yes won
- Will Nico Williams score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
- Will Pedri score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
- Will Álvaro Morata score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.