TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c27…1555

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
266
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.15
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarezbacked Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.74
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$913.66
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$211.18
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$302.52
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.31
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.24
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,603.56
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.32
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.65
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.36
Morocco leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$9.92
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.43
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.6
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.88
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.12
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.19
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.42
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.3%+$58.19
Will Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$38.53
Will Goncalo Ramos score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Desire Doue score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$51.88
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$203.97
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$115.09
Will River Plate win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.62
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.5
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.96
Palmeiras vs. FC Porto: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+70.1%+$15.78
PSG vs. Atlético Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$29.63
Will Bradley Barcola score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$25.5
Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+39%+$28.68
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$50.75
Will Désiré Doué score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.08
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-36.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$339.08
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.7%+$100.78
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.5%+$69.05
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.4
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.8%+$43.38
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70.8%+$185.21
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$50.89
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.6
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$450.92
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.75
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.9
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.05
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.29
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.22
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$73.6
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.25
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.7
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$79.54
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$131.47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.74
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$93.12
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$47.42
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$44.96
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$79.93
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.37
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$102.47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.67
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56%+$408.29
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70%+$14.92
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$674.24
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$145.98
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$85
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$152.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$128.64
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$770.66
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.2
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$530.79
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.4%+$259.42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$91.82
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$63.33
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.65
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$62.19
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+89%+$196.61
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$186.07
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+71%+$72.35
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$37.74
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36%+$158.08
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+130.2%+$392.92
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+284.6%+$1,209.22
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$145.37
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$26.27
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.9%+$46.05
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$95.1
"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.07
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30–39?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$17.25
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+31%+$34.34
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.02
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$35.97
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50-54?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+41.8%+$29.7
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$104
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.92
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$8.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$107.78
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.72
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$558.72
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+57%+$287.17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48%+$201.06
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34%+$32.15
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$79.37
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240.52
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$63.27
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$32.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.1%+$88.32
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.52
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.59
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$31.21
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.97
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+51%+$96.25
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$68
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+104.4%+$156.81
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+87.7%+$356.02
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$42.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$472.96
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$176.06
Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$51.3
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74.59
Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$53.86
Will XRP dip to $2.60 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$38.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$70.66
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+36%+$87.63
Ethereum all time high by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$61.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$29.2
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.95
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$109.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$126.22
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.23
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$82.45
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$79.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$51.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$58.13
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$184.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$73.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$76.36
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+34.1%+$35.02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.9%+$52.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$51.08
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$58.78
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$76.05
Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.17
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.25
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)backed CD Universidad Católica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$30.75
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)backed CA Boston River · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$17.1
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+87%+$42.3
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$16.63
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$79.35
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$85.5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.9%+$90.89
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$20.66
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.8%+$220.65
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.2%+$76.38
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.5%+$105.91
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$36.12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13.52
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.32
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.77
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+107.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.58
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$497.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$252.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.