TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,066 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c1,409$1,014 inWon+$394.4928543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes28c1,196$335 inLost-$334.958638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No72c499.99$359 inWon+$140.9824742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes28c200$57 inLost-$56.684337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed No68c152.99$105 inWon+$48.412825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No66c152.05$101 inWon+$51.0330754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked Yes32c127$41 inLost-$40.641030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No67c108.94$73 inWon+$35.9512956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945f…c89bbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb81…d251backed Yes28c107.07$30 inLost-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No72c105$76 inWon+$29.42737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No72c102.3$74 inWon+$28.683444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes28c101$28 inLost-$28.284325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe51e…6eb0backed Yes30c80$24 inLost-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…0d6abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…9f18backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No71c68.01$48 inWon+$19.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eec…2cbdbacked Yes34c59.03$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes28c55$15 inLost-$15.460%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No70c49.99$35 inWon+$154639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No70c37.34$26 inWon+$11.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f5…6df1backed Yes40c25$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No68c18.75$13 inWon+$625735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8731…1181backed No71c17.24$12 inWon+$5560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.