TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Désiré Doué score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,241 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes23c2,357$542 inWon+$1,814.943542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No77c2,239$1,724 inLost-$1,723.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked No1c1,246$12 inLost-$12.462010%2 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-85.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No4c1,000$40 inLost-$409343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes19c200$38 inWon+$1622737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No79c125.88$100 inLost-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df0…a488backed Yes38c115.25$44 inWon+$70.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+127%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes19c108.5$21 inWon+$87.3413843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No60c102.5$62 inLost-$61.52045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked Yes28c70$20 inWon+$50.41030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed No72c70$50 inLost-$50.46735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No61c21.97$13 inLost-$13.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.