TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bradley Barcola score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,767 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Yes19c444$84 inLost-$84.3613843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes27c375.53$100 inLost-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes19c200$38 inLost-$3813333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf968…be0bbacked Yes20c156.25$31 inLost-$31.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked Yes26c151.03$39 inLost-$391030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No80c125.5$100 inWon+$25.53444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…9f18backed Yes22c122.73$27 inLost-$27944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8731…1181backed No75c100$75 inWon+$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost-$1929138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No75c24.6$18 inWon+$6.239343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes55c20$11 inLost-$1113048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No55c19.99$11 inWon+$8.993658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.