Champions League · resolved market
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc250363d8b3a3e24b8fc2b03ad3ab8d63452e4e8c12b54b7d888fe33c3812f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 73c | 1,028$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.87 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked No | 77c | 500$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 27c | 350.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 32c | 332.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 72c | 269.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 74c | 239.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 75c | 176.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 152.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…b515backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +669.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 29c | 140.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 74c | 130.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Yes | 28c | 127.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d251backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 23c | 101$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…0e94backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…a488backed Yes | 27c | 90.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Yes | 11c | 90$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +345.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…948abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 75c | 69.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 74c | 56.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 23c | 51.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95a…da63backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed No | 74c | 40.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…d489backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…bcfcbacked No | 73c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 69c | 19.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe58c…0262backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?this page
- Will Achraf Hakimi score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?Yes won
- Will Bradley Barcola score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Denzel Dumfries score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Désiré Doué score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?Yes won
- Will Federico Dimarco score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Goncalo Ramos score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Marcus Thuram score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Marko Arnautović score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Nuno Mendes score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.