TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb97…1aa0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 62 out of 100; worst F1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+239.7%+$59.28
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+482.3%+$76.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71–72°F on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.27
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61–62°F on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73–74°F on May 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68–69°F on May 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+553.4%+$94.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74–75°F on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+141.5%+$21.23
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72–73°F on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$31.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70–71°F on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70–71°F on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+192.5%+$46.86
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61–62°F on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+78.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+1,509.9%+$226.49
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.51
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon tweet 155–169 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+669.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+251.6%+$62.9
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+300%+$60
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $4-4.25 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Will Oliveira Win By Submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+182.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.