Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc659f1690ce967cdc3e81c326dd7a0ad328285bb4b3cff9dd81241b9dcdc4f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6605…a568backed Yes | 8c | 2,180$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 75c | 1,511$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 25c | 1,265$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 844.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 3c | 732$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Yes | 17c | 555.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…6e0bbacked Yes | 5c | 444.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 433$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 75c | 322.93$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…3e7bbacked Yes | 11c | 256.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 12c | 214.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 14c | 187$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 22c | 180$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 142.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…68acbacked Yes | 9c | 120.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 25c | 93.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?this page
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?Yes won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Matti Schmid win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.