TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x81e1…7265

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
393
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10834.3%37 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.39
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$980.23
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$351.12
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$625.11
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$84.23
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$670
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.27
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$519.54
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.8
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+332.4%+$1,931.89
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$269.99
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+234.1%+$641.15
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$512.39
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.7
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+267.3%+$389.95
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$484.57
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.48
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.32
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.14
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.78
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST7035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+84.5%+$27.48
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$112
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+133.2%+$51.4
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+79.6%+$48
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$242.84
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67.97
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$224.95
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$231.92
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+186.6%+$476.06
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.38
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$600
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$68.14
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$121.33
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+171.7%+$62.39
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+156.4%+$95.77
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$277.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$44.88
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3826.3%10 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.35
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$639.25
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32%+$274.96
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$447.07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$493.12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,514.39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$416.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$226.67
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$166.63
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+188.8%+$578.55
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$447.92
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.74
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$427.49
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.67
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.84
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.66
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,264.11
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.97
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$497.83
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+139.9%+$718.53
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.69
Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$446.67
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$149.07
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$59.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$108
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$215.9
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$196.5
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.08
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.76
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$37.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.14
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$455.92
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Benfica beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+233.3%+$70
Will Feyenoord beat Sparta Praha?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$21.4
Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3030%9 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+640.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$583.44
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+27.1%+$189.49
Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Will Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66.1
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$23.23
Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,775.89
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$677.48
Will JA21 win 9–10 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+182.8%+$69.91
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$649.41
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+20,264.3%+$5,980.44
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+129.6%+$1,897.04
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,034.24
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,349.46
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$53.89
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Poilievre say "Tariffs" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Poilievre say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Poilievre say "Trump" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$24.96
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+328.6%+$1,150
Canada election called before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.2
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,287.78
Yoon released from custody before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.57
Will Donald Trump say Tariff 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+191.9%+$333.98
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.83
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.01
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$493.88
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+254.6%+$3,360.29
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Jerome Powell say "Cut" 7 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.19
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+86.2%+$127.95
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.28
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.4
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.27
Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+270.4%+$146
Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$83.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$25.95
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$27
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+400%+$80
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$33.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-66.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$226.72
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+75.3%+$415.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+128.8%+$1,247.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+127.3%+$279.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.