Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81cae8d99e5c5ddf059ffc61ee12b8373f08ffeecc246e86e8a162cf7b853c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,373$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 15c | 1,250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fa…b1d3backed Yes | 18c | 1,068$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 999.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 17c | 998.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes | 18c | 780.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 15c | 766.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 596$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6965…a8adbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 16c | 404.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 16c | 346.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 4c | 249$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…9fedbacked Yes | 17c | 229.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Yes | 20c | 225$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…332dbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 16c | 198.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 17c | 148.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…56a1backed Yes | 17c | 143.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 125.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 18c | 111.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…73b7backed Yes | 19c | 107.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.