TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35e8…0596

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
AC Milan vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Parma vs. Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Parma vs. Bologna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Torino win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Fiorentina vs. Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Verona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Verona vs. Inter: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
US Cremonese vs. Juventus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Udinese vs. Atalanta: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Cremonese vs. Atalanta: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Parma win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+140.1%+$140.14
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sparta Rotterdam vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+193.7%+$193.71
FC Groningen vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heracles Almelo vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
FC Twente '65 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
PEC Zwolle vs. NEC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
FC Volendam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+62.1%+$31.06
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$254.55
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Newcastle (-0.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+150%+$150
West Ham vs. Newcastle: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Liverpool vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$118.37
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Brighton vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$105.58
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$144.99
Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Newcastle vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+428%+$107
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will UnitedHealth Group (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Real Betis vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Alaves vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Levante UD vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$99.96
Levante UD vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Real Madrid vs. Valencia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.