Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x414e897fa4cb3416b4ea38d5135bea6ebf5502e4e53c3e89421f655d05df7705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 25,207$14,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,619.87 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 4,705$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.48 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 2,443$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.69 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 33c | 2,371$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.15 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,168$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,540$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 60c | 1,403$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.07 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,185$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +80%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 727.94$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…af90backed Yes | 40c | 705$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 674.38$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.06 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 42c | 661.9$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 58c | 599.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 24c | 500.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 76c | 447$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 58c | 443.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 29c | 380$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 58c | 315.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 59c | 255.93$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…cc36backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 42c | 207.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 205.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 193.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…05f2backed Yes | 42c | 189.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 41c | 169.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b839backed Yes | 42c | 157.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 44c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5962…2446backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 74c | 97.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…a15dbacked Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 39c | 84.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…492dbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 55.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 54.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed Yes | 75c | 49.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…1f74backed Yes | 24c | 49.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…5473backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed Yes | 41c | 48.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 59c | 41.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 59c | 40.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 59c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…0fedbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 26.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…b883backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…ab4abacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.