Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090080fb8775dc4338e2a2666c6655b2c258856fa053cc8b546ffc3b305f2cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc919…a162backed Yes | 6c | 17,671$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 5,465$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 2,496$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,053$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.55 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 1,456$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.25 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…69cdbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9496…7454backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…9fefbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 798.28$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.2 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 34c | 754$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes | 35c | 592.71$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 35c | 574.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 68c | 486.19$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…56debacked Yes | 35c | 362.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f2…876dbacked No | 66c | 328$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…bdddbacked Yes | 34c | 155$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 33c | 154.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…bd11backed Yes | 34c | 152$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 35c | 143.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 54c | 131.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 66c | 108.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 64c | 103.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…2f88backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…a15dbacked Yes | 36c | 93.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 67c | 89.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…0d96backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 32c | 87.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…9a51backed Yes | 35c | 53.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…042ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cf…5ab8backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.