TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29f2…876d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$123
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$207.95
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+163.2%+$620
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$52.8
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$134.53
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$141.29
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$117
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.95
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$799
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$279.99
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$214.2
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$146
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.18
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$189
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,682
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$57
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.2
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$307.48
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$524.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.29
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$262
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$100.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.