Us Politics · resolved market
Government shutdown on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b78de44ea49d0eb8d5fee85352294b6f679a47c56944c6ad5c945e9a2ba7211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,550,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,012,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,550,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,082,227$17,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,096.58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 75c | 490,028$365,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,910.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6e12backed No | 13c | 353,684$47,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306,337.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 40c | 240,048$96,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,129.43 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 10c | 211,685$20,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,172.51 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 10c | 184,459$19,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,418.91 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 74c | 143,737$105,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,897.89 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 26cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…ca1fbacked Yes | 68c | 134,071$91,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,812.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 68c | 114,352$78,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,085.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 71c | 107,665$76,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,190.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 76c | 98,154$74,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,836.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 73c | 94,864$69,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,856.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 3c | 94,378$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.73 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 83,250$20,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,937.79 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 1c | 81,962$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 72c | 77,329$55,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,500.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes | 13c | 72,885$9,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,477.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 38c | 70,920$26,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,866.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 13c | 69,338$8,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,902.73 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 79c | 64,075$50,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,185.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked No | 69c | 62,772$43,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,372.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…3d85backed No | 11c | 61,810$6,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,929.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +798.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 62c | 60,886$37,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,929.81 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…ac2bbacked No | 77c | 53,465$41,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,381.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked No | 78c | 51,089$39,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 24c | 50,863$12,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100.89 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 38c | 50,609$19,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,600.22 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…e0e3backed Yes | 3c | 49,678$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…9ff8backed No | 78c | 49,509$38,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,114.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…7c8bbacked No | 35c | 47,537$16,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,899.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…6d26backed Yes | 65c | 47,537$30,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,899.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Yes | 37c | 46,239$16,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,931.85 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 56c | 45,826$25,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,751.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 45c | 45,214$20,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,174.11 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 15c | 40,514$6,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 68c | 40,214$27,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,024.02 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 18c | 40,163$7,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,231.08 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…72b2backed Yes | 75c | 39,231$29,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,246.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 43c | 37,986$16,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,772.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes | 24c | 37,205$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,050.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 1c | 36,630$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…700ebacked Yes | 3c | 36,354$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 49c | 34,526$16,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,921.05 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…83d3backed Yes | 20c | 34,246$6,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,754.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 2c | 34,236$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a76…4f1fbacked Yes | 4c | 34,027$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked No | 30c | 33,340$9,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,391.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 7c | 33,305$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,003.47 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 57c | 31,899$18,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,588.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 58c | 29,845$17,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,373.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed Yes | 15c | 29,700$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…ac3cbacked No | 80c | 29,396$23,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 14c | 29,239$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.04 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 29,166$12,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,095.07 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…228ebacked Yes | 4c | 28,699$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 50c | 28,675$14,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,380.83 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed No | 31c | 27,950$8,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,182.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 59c | 27,735$16,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,384.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 45c | 27,126$12,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,137.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…e0b7backed Yes | 0c | 26,561$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…616cbacked No | 68c | 26,111$17,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed Yes | 68c | 26,045$17,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,606.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…44dcbacked Yes | 1c | 26,015$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 22c | 25,282$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 19c | 24,230$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 71c | 24,215$17,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,190.58 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845f…c13bbacked No | 29c | 24,199$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,085.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 22c | 23,724$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.58 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 15c | 21,862$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.67 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…41c2backed No | 20c | 21,761$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,415.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 27c | 21,566$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed No | 5c | 20,972$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,972.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,997.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…e72ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,815$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 75c | 20,435$15,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.18 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 15c | 19,846$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…fa72backed Yes | 17c | 19,757$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…9ff1backed Yes | 2c | 19,734$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.19 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked No | 69c | 19,646$13,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 33c | 19,545$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,069.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 40c | 19,433$7,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,817.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 1c | 19,240$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…25aebacked Yes | 0c | 19,134$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…0f4abacked No | 38c | 19,012$7,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,819.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…edabbacked Yes | 2c | 18,637$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…a983backed Yes | 1c | 18,547$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…9ea3backed Yes | 3c | 18,530$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 61c | 18,174$11,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,063.06 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 11c | 17,777$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 75c | 17,754$13,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,338.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…e7debacked Yes | 3c | 17,640$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 49c | 17,146$8,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,396.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,090$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 68c | 16,920$11,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,427.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +320.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…78e2backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 9c | 14,791$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.95 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…8f25backed Yes | 2c | 14,671$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 65c | 14,581$9,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,546.23 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…d9f3backed No | 25c | 14,036$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,527.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.