TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd71…d127

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 66 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,131.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,125.35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14,249.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$236,927Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$127,081.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,399.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,563.62
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27,224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$7,424.17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14,585.57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27,942.56
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$9,113.07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14,799.86
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,786.97
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,999.99
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32,530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.4%+$15,426.56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.4%+$21,316.03
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$179.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,703Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.2%+$3,236.03
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,922.47
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,690.19
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60,075Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+30.5%+$18,293.75
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,082.61
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,896.59
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+77.7%+$378.7
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26%+$292.15
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$81.69
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$25.99
TikTok sale announced before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$1,295.72
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18,029Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7,361.7
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$171.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,994.79
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$723.98
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$2,358.96
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$97.74
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.18
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$321.17
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,341Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+45%+$1,954.13
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.94
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29,164.71
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40,734.71
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39,634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+71.9%+$28,506.28
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49,554Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$14,506.53
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$49.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.45per pick39cpaid+227.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+879.4%+$20,239.74
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+231.4%+$3,179.13
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+900%+$7,862.06
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110,981Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.4%+$29,297.31
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+426.3%+$928.26
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Republicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,884Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$1,510.43
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$278.64
Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+138.1%+$306.24
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+143.9%+$1,490.45
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,734Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+71.1%+$3,367.33
Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,747Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+71%+$1,239.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$924.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$2,645.05
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,771Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+347.9%+$20,075.32
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+57%+$16.04
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.99
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.69
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,882.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21,559Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112%+$24,143.4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,523
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,474.21
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+44%+$2,575.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas vs. Kansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+203%+$536
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$108.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$242,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$76,083.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Classic: Winnerbacked John/Paige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$74.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$225.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.