TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe598…a0a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT5623.2%13 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.63
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.04
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,043.94
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.01
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+1,146.4%+$700.47
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,893Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$1,360.01
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$597.5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,149.27
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.76
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.43
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.62
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+674.4%+$2,389
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.34
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$46,057
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64,494Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+48.2%+$31,073.75
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,395.13
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$212.94
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.88
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.7
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.88
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$140.79
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$76.49
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$965.57
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$1,803.72
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.44
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$170.2
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$1,159.87
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,818Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.4%+$2,139.75
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76,475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$31,190.2
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.04
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,547Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+46.8%+$3,998.99
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14,750.8
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$996.11
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$515.1
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35.57
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,062.77
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$22.8
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.1%+$56.93
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62%+$54.4
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+52.2%+$428.41
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+46.5%+$356.56
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,608Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$3,767.41
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+31.9%+$55.69
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,685Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+33%+$556.37
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.05
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-54.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$227.01
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11,424Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51%+$5,820.75
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,440.11
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,876.8
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$329.55
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$6,730.69
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$213.79
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,015.15
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$169.67
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,581Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.2%+$1,963.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick10cpaid+463.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+312.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,688Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+725.1%+$26,746.5
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$99.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,544.02
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.