Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0387f7805a4a7d90d9c84410bd8a7c77b00809e130c3f52cb9e28e49bc78a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 0c | 124,006$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 71c | 12,331$8,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 80c | 10,166$8,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,116.04 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 29c | 6,565$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.58 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 915.25$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.54 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 847.38$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…e7d2backed Yes | 20c | 579.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 39c | 410$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 20c | 399.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 308.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 275.61$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 22c | 258.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 29c | 188$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed No | 53c | 113.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 77c | 86.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked Yes | 24c | 82.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…ddaabacked Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Yes | 46c | 48.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 51c | 38.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 67c | 28.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 53c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…4e98backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 79c | 15.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.