TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x392a…6bba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST9324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$112.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$44.2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+264%+$42.25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.8%+$65.34
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$79.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$30.22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90.9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+111.4%+$95.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.97
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$66.63
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+135.6%+$162.77
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+202.8%+$212.91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$32.67
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will United States win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Senegal win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brazil vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+86.6%+$25.12
Will Venezuela win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Colombia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$28.95
Will Bolivia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$25.67
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Bolivia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$92.44
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.19
Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$23.38
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$33.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$20.84
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$73.9
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$22
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$133.33
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$35.76
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$24.59
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Valencia win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+37%+$31.07
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50.47
Will FC Basel win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Will FCSB win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.31
Will Lille vs. Brann end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ludogorets win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.7
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+134.9%+$20.23
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+113.9%+$17.08
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$73.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.