La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d221af524997a388c696773235bdf08740e620ee1e164659a1302272ffc6f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 24c | 16,678$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 13,224$10,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.45 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 77c | 4,911$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.55 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 3,989$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.94 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,600$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.91 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 76c | 2,804$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.88 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,527$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked No | 76c | 1,118$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 77c | 1,111$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 24c | 841.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…5cd1backed Yes | 21c | 787.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 76c | 740.13$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 736.11$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed No | 77c | 564.22$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…81f2backed Yes | 24c | 417.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 76c | 399.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 24c | 289.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 237$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 211$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 196.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 19c | 160$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 24c | 149.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 23c | 142.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 23c | 132.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed No | 78c | 126.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 55c | 112.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…305fbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…13d6backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 78c | 91.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked No | 68c | 90.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +228.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 24c | 87.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…2c58backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…a178backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 32c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…25d6backed Yes | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 23c | 76.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Yes | 23c | 69.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…cad3backed Yes | 25c | 58.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 22c | 57.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…1f74backed Yes | 24c | 57.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 55.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ef…fccfbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 42.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6bb0backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…105dbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.