La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc393786729c773b83f1bb00f00563dc1b9d2247bdfecab1f7d5276aaa9049e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 34c | 15,162$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,153.33 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 66c | 12,391$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.85 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 66c | 2,581$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.29 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 1,227$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.18 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked No | 69c | 1,094$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 66c | 1,091$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.09 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 994.67$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 833$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 671.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 66c | 603.15$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 32c | 550.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 31c | 524.42$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 492.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 463$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 55c | 279.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 270.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 197.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 34c | 168.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 64c | 161.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 158.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 34c | 132.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 8c | 129.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 31c | 111$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 66c | 83.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 75c | 77.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed No | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed No | 68c | 44.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 67c | 37.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 37.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 66c | 34.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 78c | 33.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 67c | 28.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 64c | 27.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 78c | 25.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…0da6backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…0279backed Yes | 65c | 15.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-10-03?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.