TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1932…4e5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Knicksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$86.9
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$68.6
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+233.3%+$116.67
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+129%+$64.5
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.1%+$39.04
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$58.37
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+74.2%+$115
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$120
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$150.84
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2763%17 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$152.52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$48.08
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+45%+$134.94
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$110.77
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Villarreal vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$150.25
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$234.61
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$94.05
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$176.11
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$206.85
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.89
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$56.31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.85
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+241.9%+$283
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$130
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$413.44
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$704.83
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$147.76
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.74
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$112.32
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$119.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$170.53
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$22.87
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+170.3%+$102.16
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,663Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$554.1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$96.15
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaurbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$114
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+119.4%+$259.77
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$356
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$235.29
Will Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$274.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$102.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$142.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$205
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.