Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1319ba34a0c998cb06ba22480391589dafdc8a09758039c6156fca37c972460

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,541,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,497,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,541,651 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	65c	288,503$186,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,330.77	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes	37c	240,758$89,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,672.43	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No	64c	236,129$151,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,006.46	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes	35c	174,000$61,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,690	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No	63c	148,987$93,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,125.26	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes	37c	78,302$28,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,995.82	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No	65c	69,488$45,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,010.63	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+4.7wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No	63c	63,303$39,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,525.83	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	63c	62,258$39,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,898.07	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	35c	60,000$21,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,190.93	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4073…e85dbacked Yes	36c	55,550$19,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,997.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	61c	55,033$33,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,602.35	149	52.3%78 W · 71 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	63c	44,224$27,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,460.86	398	42.2%168 W · 230 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes	37c	34,261$12,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,758.39	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes	31c	30,000$9,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,303.51	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes	36c	28,598$10,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,353.51	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Yes	38c	25,074$9,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,440	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	37c	25,000$9,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,250	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	36c	23,636$8,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,433.61	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No	63c	22,585$14,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,262.29	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed Yes	35c	22,219$7,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,857.05	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	62c	20,000$12,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,699.9	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0761…d1d6backed Yes	31c	17,829$5,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,603.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No	63c	17,156$10,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,301.85	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No	61c	17,044$10,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,640.47	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	63c	16,999$10,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,229.7	194	53.6%104 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	62c	12,369$7,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,740.19	221	47.5%105 W · 116 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	63c	12,250$7,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,530.47	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes	36c	11,766$4,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,232.53	182	50.5%92 W · 90 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	70c	11,429$8,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,388.22	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Yes	38c	10,657$4,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,049.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,700	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Yes	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,799.98	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes	37c	9,567$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	38c	9,258$3,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,528.99	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Yes	2c	7,256$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No	64c	7,249$4,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,614.76	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No	63c	7,166$4,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,623.04	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+10.0wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes	36c	7,161$2,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,562.24	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes	37c	7,095$2,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.46	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-5.2wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf359…d1a3backed Yes	25c	7,000$1,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…51a3backed Yes	36c	6,935$2,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,496.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	67c	6,807$4,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,241.36	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes	35c	6,595$2,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,308.25	129	56.6%73 W · 56 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No	64c	6,560$4,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,361.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+106.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe4…3a16backed Yes	36c	6,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes	37c	5,991$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,212.47	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5335…0e2fbacked No	63c	5,809$3,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes	36c	5,557$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.67	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes	37c	5,555$2,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b6…896ebacked Yes	35c	5,490$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935.14	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes	36c	5,452$1,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.54	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	34c	5,347$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,828.33	203	43.3%88 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	34c	5,326$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb63…f4f0backed Yes	2c	5,208$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	17cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No	63c	5,172$3,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,888.44	397	46.9%186 W · 211 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No	69c	5,000$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550	108	45.4%49 W · 59 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.98	149	53%79 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.98	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cbb…02a3backed Yes	38c	4,958$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860.62	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	35c	4,916$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.87	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Yes	36c	4,722$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes	34c	4,500$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	35c	4,500$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554	190	28.9%55 W · 135 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No	64c	4,125$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,484.99	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Yes	7c	4,106$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.39	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	44cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	35c	4,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Yes	38c	4,000$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	63c	3,804$2,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422.05	449	55.7%250 W · 199 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes	36c	3,781$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.24per pick	48cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	72c	3,748$2,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.06	582	48.8%284 W · 298 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes	31c	3,718$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No	62c	3,600$2,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367.98	181	60.8%110 W · 71 L	+18.5wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Yes	37c	3,600$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes	38c	3,586$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.47	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes	37c	3,500$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,295	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-48%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	32c	3,500$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.96	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	63c	3,321$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221	176	58.5%103 W · 73 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes	37c	3,294$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.7	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes	37c	3,243$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No	62c	3,156$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,203.63	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes	35c	3,150$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	37c	3,025$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.2	152	50.7%77 W · 75 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes	32c	2,980$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.73	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	61c	2,918$1,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.71	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…1e3ebacked Yes	36c	2,799$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes	36c	2,794$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.2	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes	36c	2,778$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes	38c	2,757$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.81	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb37d…b5b3backed Yes	37c	2,707$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Yes	37c	2,703$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	21cpaid	+304.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes	37c	2,703$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes	37c	2,703$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb571…0003backed Yes	40c	2,654$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…ac2ebacked Yes	38c	2,612$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.42	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	37c	2,550$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.5	402	22.9%92 W · 310 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes	26c	2,500$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655	254	50%127 W · 127 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed No	64c	2,500$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?this page
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event