TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x500e…5822backed Yes25c18,111$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.47333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes25c17,937$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No75c8,843$6,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.838241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c7,568$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.251,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No75c5,468$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.928258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes25c4,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c4,028$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.951,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6199…9316backed No76c3,653$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c3,648$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.6558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes32c2,795$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.229336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No74c2,776$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.0714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No70c2,660$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.3238343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3314…c66bbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes24c1,869$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.562615.4%4 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d3f…5e3abacked No75c1,668$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No75c1,653$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.182770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No75c1,627$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7310443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No78c1,487$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0220343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…37a4backed No76c1,400$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8f…6202backed Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe219…8cc8backed No77c1,370$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes25c1,303$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.852236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c1,300$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.72259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a9…1f13backed No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No75c1,281$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1810051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes24c1,248$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-72.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06a…837dbacked Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+250.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…fb63backed No76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No75c1,194$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.386653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c1,105$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes24c1,100$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26111743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes25c1,008$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa089…6d33backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No75c999.98$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c995.8$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2476225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes25c973.12$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.844027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Yes25c945.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.511145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes34c944.05$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes8c846.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6216136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes25c785.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes24c649$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.765453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes24c627.3$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.955121.6%11 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes27c562.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes24c553.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.944833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb89…3fadbacked No77c473.48$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Yes22c460.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick29cpaid+8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62fd…8bcfbacked No76c448.39$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce03…5608backed Yes23c438.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes28c436.11$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46be…4ad3backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010341.7%43 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f37…0b78backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No75c398.63$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7412546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ea…992bbacked No78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a2…5374backed Yes25c369.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes16c356.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.355433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes25c350$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.510543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…760ebacked Yes24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes26c345.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.741020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes24c333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.925637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+171.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b2…1039backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef8…4730backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed No76c293$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.323545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes25c288$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723633.3%12 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No76c257.91$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7139746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x195a…b307backed Yes39c255.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c253.63$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6635860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb71f…faa0backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…21c1backed Yes24c246.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes25c238$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+78.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes25c228$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x917c…6b38backed Yes23c209$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7102…28b4backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502619.2%5 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e94…651fbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+199.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x675a…0551backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-84.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4537…9427backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba20…4d1bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x746d…c245backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1766…de73backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…a15dbacked Yes25c172.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d9…a9c1backed Yes25c161.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37c…189abacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes26c158.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.