TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x675a…0551

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+441%+$352.84
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$186.35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$430.25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+475.5%+$332.87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$22.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$185.09
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+218.3%+$90.27
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.52
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$183.57
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$7,022.73
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$81.25
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,371
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.22
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$62.68
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-84.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,520.29
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+52.4%+$229.41
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31.23
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Barcelona vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+95%+$569.87
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Getafe vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+127.8%+$127.84
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Latvia vs. Andorra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.6%+$75.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$18.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple say "China" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$395.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.