Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa895b0b0385d18c6815e0114bd1806d7c2ccf781f7e26a4c738f4d02e57ca0b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,084,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 45c | 202,500$91,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,074.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 56c | 133,831$74,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,209.2 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 44c | 63,199$27,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,807.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked No | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 55c | 43,278$23,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,475.26 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 55c | 28,968$15,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,035.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 27,559$15,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,401.63 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 24,271$9,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,758.89 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 69c | 21,745$15,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,740.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 55c | 19,374$10,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,664.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 46c | 18,236$8,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked No | 58c | 17,235$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,234.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed No | 56c | 16,429$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,228.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 77c | 13,609$10,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.52 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 13,583$7,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840.9 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 12,307$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.71 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 54c | 11,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 46c | 10,864$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.97 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 9,733$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.49 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 9,390$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.23 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 45c | 8,294$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.91 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yes | 44c | 8,200$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Yes | 45c | 8,029$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 45c | 7,049$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 56c | 6,799$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.56 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 57c | 6,428$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 45c | 5,600$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Yes | 44c | 5,499$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Yes | 46c | 5,173$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Yes | 58c | 5,161$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 45c | 5,065$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 70c | 5,018$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 4,800$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.53 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 43c | 4,700$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 58c | 4,500$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.69 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed No | 33c | 4,500$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed Yes | 41c | 3,401$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 3,244$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.71 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,153$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.05 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 45c | 3,009$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.93 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 57c | 2,639$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 2,547$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.75 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 46c | 2,407$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.24 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed No | 32c | 2,375$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,339$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…93dbbacked No | 55c | 2,330$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 44c | 2,248$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 2,230$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.54 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 54c | 2,134$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.85 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 2,080$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.15 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…02d2backed Yes | 45c | 1,970$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes | 43c | 1,840$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 56c | 1,698$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 61c | 1,615$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.49 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…e02abacked Yes | 43c | 1,595$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,564$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yes | 67c | 1,495$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 47c | 1,487$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 45c | 1,484$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 1,443$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.84 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed No | 55c | 1,427$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 42c | 1,335$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.65 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 45c | 1,275$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.97 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 45c | 1,240$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Yes | 45c | 1,218$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 39c | 1,203$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,166$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 55c | 1,151$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.95 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 57c | 1,118$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…f2e3backed No | 55c | 1,107$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb3…bf2ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,106$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 55c | 1,090$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 46c | 1,071$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,025$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked No | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 58c | 1,019$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,015$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.