TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa09b…db3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Tweets, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$940.44
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$1,075
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$879
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$1,485
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$176.25
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$127.75
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$364.08
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+241.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$1,509.99
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$628.72
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.49
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$829.99
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.99
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$439.99
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$651.73
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,021
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,052
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,581.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+5,158.6%+$2,426.76
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,737.31
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,787.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,858
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$650.38
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.8%+$95.93
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+41.4%+$136
Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+400%+$82.92
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$329.42
Will Trump say "Wealthy" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.06
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.26
Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Trump say "Iran" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.92
Will Trump say "Erdogan" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.29
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Jared" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.13
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.73
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$828.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-79.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$79.2
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$675
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+509%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$220.8
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$160.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$651.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,160.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+90.9%+$1,963.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nihal Sarin win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$782.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$129.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$780
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.