Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd1e86e35c2b1839e7124f7b92033fb10158ad2b96633718dc541086900eb09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 63c | 2,730$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.13 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 36c | 2,219$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.3 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 59c | 1,142$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.88 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 61c | 506.67$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 41c | 374.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 41c | 374.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 58c | 345.03$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 40c | 281.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682b…59d8backed Over | 39c | 247.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…7131backed Over | 42c | 236.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 39c | 207.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 50c | 200.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 54c | 185.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over | 50c | 183.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 46c | 176.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 165.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +20.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c54cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…1afebacked Over | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 53c | 104.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 62c | 94.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Over | 80c | 80.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 38c | 60.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 39c | 50.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…a42bbacked Over | 39c | 38.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 31.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…0669backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…cbacbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…5e42backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…336dbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.