TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb155…0669

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.79
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$25.35
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.8
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$218.09
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$199.23
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$137.8
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$97.39
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+54.1%+$31.6
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.49
Will Chris Shula be the next Pittsburgh Steelers Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-70.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.