NFL · resolved market
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a21c55ba98b650f4d9e7177a789dcb666e9db32e05e46848c1cc0ef5371c307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 18,660$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.84 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…2ba8backed Yes | 22c | 13,200$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed No | 72c | 11,853$8,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 19c | 6,776$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.31 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 21c | 5,284$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.29 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…b4b5backed Yes | 15c | 3,758$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…5d15backed No | 77c | 3,580$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…99e1backed No | 78c | 3,400$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…698cbacked No | 77c | 3,300$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 17c | 3,237$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…3803backed No | 78c | 2,920$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 16c | 2,290$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.58 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb2…0bd2backed Yes | 13c | 2,016$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…1cd5backed Yes | 5c | 1,928$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 78c | 1,803$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,797$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 1,752$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.61 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 9c | 1,598$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Yes | 23c | 1,450$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.87 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked No | 78c | 1,449$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 15c | 1,415$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,204$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 9c | 910$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 13c | 854$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 17c | 569.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…a4fdbacked Yes | 9c | 521.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 24c | 499.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 14c | 479.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933e…0c93backed Yes | 12c | 463.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee91…093ebacked Yes | 12c | 433.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 7c | 429.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 423.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 396.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 8c | 375.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Yes | 14c | 374.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3664…f267backed Yes | 9c | 364$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…6585backed No | 77c | 361$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 16c | 360$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…f64abacked Yes | 24c | 336.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…7700backed Yes | 12c | 330.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 79c | 327.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 18c | 315$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 10c | 299.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 16c | 279.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 10c | 270.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 77c | 265$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 10c | 263$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 26c | 260.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 9c | 257.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…25bbbacked Yes | 12c | 204.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…11e8backed No | 77c | 200.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…ca81backed Yes | 26c | 192.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Yes | 15c | 190.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…741dbacked Yes | 18c | 189.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…7fcebacked Yes | 11c | 176.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Yes | 15c | 168.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked Yes | 10c | 163$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 10c | 161.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 29c | 146$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…a6febacked No | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…596dbacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Yes | 9c | 115.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…b62cbacked Yes | 11c | 105.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…7ce9backed No | 79c | 100.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 19c | 99.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…c0d4backed No | 69c | 96.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Yes | 26c | 96.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 24c | 92.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a54…9879backed Yes | 12c | 86.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 12c | 83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…0669backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 19c | 63.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…c4ecbacked Yes | 24c | 54.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eac…a5ffbacked No | 79c | 53.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…8e8dbacked No | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed No | 74c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…7af4backed No | 73c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?this page
- Will Andy Reid win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Demeco Ryans win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will John Harbaugh win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Liam Coen win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Matt LaFleur win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?Yes won
- Will Pete Carroll win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Sean McDermott win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Sean Payton win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Shane Steichen win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Todd Bowles win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Zac Taylor win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.