NFL · resolved market
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d83ff41dd492f5110cc8083e652f343fada80a2cd090e73cad3ccb1566b706a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,055,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,045,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,055,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 25c | 22,379$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.57 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 49c | 12,239$5,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.23 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9c…fe9dbacked Yes | 66c | 8,506$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 36c | 6,858$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.65 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 6c | 6,840$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.01 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…fb17backed No | 28c | 6,159$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 21c | 5,442$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 34c | 4,903$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.97 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 25c | 4,794$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…2705backed No | 23c | 4,094$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…4123backed Yes | 61c | 3,872$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.54 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 40c | 3,744$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.6 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7103backed No | 28c | 3,691$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,552$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…ac2bbacked No | 30c | 3,417$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…93ebbacked No | 21c | 3,269$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…21d6backed No | 28c | 3,231$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…8d80backed No | 33c | 3,145$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2519…2237backed No | 29c | 3,082$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd9…0424backed Yes | 71c | 3,001$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…7d24backed No | 18c | 2,891$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Yes | 74c | 2,817$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…f0a7backed Yes | 69c | 2,812$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…aac3backed No | 33c | 2,762$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 2,716$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.81 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…8e20backed Yes | 67c | 2,697$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…1f6cbacked No | 33c | 2,693$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1127…969cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,668$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…8216backed Yes | 72c | 2,657$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…e206backed No | 23c | 2,635$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e2…31d9backed Yes | 67c | 2,632$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…6bd9backed Yes | 69c | 2,631$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d9…39c6backed No | 31c | 2,585$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefc…c227backed No | 27c | 2,580$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…7695backed No | 33c | 2,567$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…4b98backed No | 18c | 2,547$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…08edbacked No | 23c | 2,504$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…e60ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,502$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a1…caaebacked No | 33c | 2,445$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…3112backed No | 28c | 2,442$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 29c | 2,403$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.59 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…0514backed No | 23c | 2,376$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…19e2backed No | 34c | 2,372$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…430fbacked No | 17c | 2,331$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…06c1backed Yes | 67c | 2,321$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…2fc6backed No | 28c | 2,300$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…9824backed Yes | 70c | 2,263$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4053backed No | 29c | 2,228$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…64b5backed No | 19c | 2,200$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb0…5638backed No | 24c | 2,189$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,158$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.68 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…07e4backed No | 21c | 2,075$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b5…1f2ebacked Yes | 77c | 2,075$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…dbd3backed No | 20c | 2,056$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…a488backed Yes | 78c | 2,048$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…5799backed Yes | 67c | 2,004$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…0f7bbacked No | 27c | 1,999$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,999$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.36 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2319…e051backed Yes | 70c | 1,960$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…096cbacked No | 17c | 1,928$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a0…f830backed Yes | 66c | 1,923$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1935…6e08backed No | 33c | 1,923$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 21c | 1,870$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.45 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…bd59backed No | 27c | 1,860$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d51…bd71backed Yes | 73c | 1,860$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…4dc3backed Yes | 71c | 1,835$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…d301backed Yes | 67c | 1,823$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d9…a98ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,822$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…60dcbacked No | 35c | 1,798$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…0c25backed Yes | 67c | 1,796$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…dbd3backed Yes | 65c | 1,787$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…44d5backed No | 31c | 1,783$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ed…9f63backed Yes | 67c | 1,758$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…5f4cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,757$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…d8a0backed No | 18c | 1,736$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…5deebacked No | 34c | 1,735$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…ae55backed Yes | 69c | 1,690$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e97…a777backed No | 31c | 1,684$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…4092backed No | 18c | 1,677$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…2a57backed Yes | 68c | 1,659$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…6fc6backed No | 18c | 1,648$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…a180backed No | 35c | 1,647$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…5515backed No | 18c | 1,637$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…53d6backed No | 19c | 1,632$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…c7b6backed No | 19c | 1,628$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…4424backed Yes | 73c | 1,619$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…3b05backed No | 28c | 1,609$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…8d6fbacked No | 18c | 1,608$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…d6babacked No | 27c | 1,606$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2a28backed Yes | 73c | 1,600$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…69e0backed No | 28c | 1,588$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…7fcbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,585$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…74d8backed No | 33c | 1,580$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 16c | 1,578$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca24…df80backed Yes | 72c | 1,577$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…0c39backed No | 18c | 1,565$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…3935backed Yes | 66c | 1,564$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0f7ebacked No | 23c | 1,564$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…4700backed No | 34c | 1,554$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?this page
- Will Andy Reid win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Demeco Ryans win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will John Harbaugh win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Liam Coen win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Matt LaFleur win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Pete Carroll win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Sean McDermott win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Sean Payton win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Shane Steichen win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Todd Bowles win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Zac Taylor win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.